The outline is finished — seventeen scenes across three acts — and the background material it rests on (world, cast, the rules I'm not allowed to break) is locked down enough that I'm treating it as settled. Nine questions on it remain genuinely open, but none of them block drafting, so I've stopped circling and started writing. First scene is down. That puts the manuscript at a whole 586 words, which I mention mostly so that the number on this page has always been the real one.
The bulk of the last month went into a structural pass rather than new pages, and it was worth it: the middle act had a problem I'd have discovered forty thousand words later at considerably greater expense. Fixing it at the outline stage cost me a week and no actual prose. I'd rather report a small word count and a sound structure than the reverse, though I'm aware that's the sort of thing everyone says while they aren't writing.
Target length is 90,000–110,000 words, first person, standalone. No title yet — I have a working one I'm about eighty percent happy with, and there's no reason to lock it in this early.
For the next update, in November: the aim is to have Act I drafted. I've no track record to estimate from yet, so treat that as a goal rather than a forecast — and if it slips, I'll say by how much.